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Academy Awards 2013 Talk
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0
 01.14.2014 4:19pm
Thread Creator

shooter_mcgavin
Registered Member

 Nominations will be announced on Jan 16 around 5 AM PST so I might as well start a thread because I normally do. 

Normally I would run down the Best Picture contenders but since there's so many this year and I would always find it draining (hey I am 30!!!) I will just run down my predictions plus the other films/actors/etc in the running.

So here goes

Best Motion Picture
1.  12 Years a Slave
2.  American Hustle
3.  Gravity
4.  Captain Phillips
5.  The Wolf of Wall Street
6.  Philomena
7.  Nebraska
8.  Her
9.  Inside Llewyn Davis
10. Dallas Buyers Club
I will be predicting 10.
Also in the running: Rush, Blue Jasmine, Lee Daniel's The Butler, Saving Mr. Banks,  and August: Osage County

Best Achievment in Directing
Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
David O Russel for American Hustle
Spike Jonze for Her
Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
Martin Scorsese for The Wolf of Wall Street
Also in the running: Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips), Joel Coen and Ethan Coen (Inside Llewyn Davis), Alexander Payne (Nebraska), and just about anyone that's a Best Picture contender

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Bruce Dern in Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio in The Wolf of Wall Street
Chitawel Ejifor in 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks in Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey in Dallas Buyers Club
Also in the Running: Robert Redford (All is Lost), Christian Bale (American Hustle), Forrest Withaker (Lee Daniel's The Butler)

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Sandra Bullock in Gravity
Cate Blanchett in Blue Jasmine
Judi Dench in Philomena
Meryl Streep in August: Osage County
Emma Thompson in Saving Mr Banks
Also in the running: Amy Adams (American Hustle)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips
Daniel Bruhl in Rush
Bradley Cooper in American Hustle
Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
Jared Leto in Dalls Buyers Club
Also in the running: Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street), James Gandolfini (Enough Said), and James Franco (Spring Breakers)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o in 12 Years a Slave
June Squibb in Nebraska
Julia Roberts in August Osage County
Oprah Winfrey in Lee Daniel's The Butler
Also in the running: Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine), Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)

Best Original Screenplay
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Nebraska
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Also in the running: Enough Said, Fruitvale Station, Gravity

Best Adapted Screenplay
12 Years a Slave
Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
Philomena
The Wolf of Wall Street
Also in the Running: August: Osage County, Blue is the Warmest Color

Best Animated Feature
The Croods
Ernset and Celestine
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises

Best Documentary Feature
20 Feet of Stardom
The Act of Killing
Blackfish
The Square
Stories We Tell

Best Forigen Language Film
The Broken Circle Breakdown from Belgium
The Great Beauty from Italy
The Hunt from Denmark
The Missing Picture from Cambodia
The Notebook from Hungary

Best Cinematography
12 Years a Slave
The Grandmaster
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Pirsoners

Best Production Design
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Best Costume Design
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
Saving Mr. Banks

Best Make Up and Hairstyling
American Hustle
Dallass Buyers Club
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

Best Film Editing
12 Years a Slave
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Rush
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Visual Effects
Gravity
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Iron Man 3
Pacific Rim
Star Trek: Into Darkness

Best Sound Mixing
Captain Phillips
Frozen
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Rush

Best Sound Editing
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
Rush

Best Original Score
12 Years a Slave
The Book Theif
Gravity
Philomena
Saving Mr Banks

Best Original Song
"Amen" from All is Lost
"Atlas" from The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
"Let it Go" from Frozen
"The Moon Song" from Her
"Ordinary Love" from Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

Best Documentary Short Subject
Facing Fear
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music saved my Life
Recollections
Slomo

Best Live Action Short
That Wasnâ??t Me
Kush
Record/Play
Tiger Boy
Two

Best Animated Feature Short
Feral
Get a Horse!
Hollow Land
Requiem for Romance
Room on the Broom




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0
 01.15.2014 2:14am


Mole
Somebody loves ya.



 I was worried you wouldn't make a thread in time. Movies!

Best Picture: This year's locks are Gravity, American Hustle, and 12 Years a Slave. However outside of these three exists a weird zone of movies that are strong contenders but may not get in, even in the expanded field. There are maybe seven or eight movies that may or may not get in, such that neither result would surprise me. 

12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Gravity
The Wolf of Wall Street
Her
Lee Daniels' The Butler
Nebraksa
Inside Llewyn Davis
Captain Phillips

Betting on nine nominees because why not.

Best Actor: 

Bruce Dern
Matthew McConaughey
Chiwetel Ejiofor
Tom Hanks
Robert Redford

All Is Lost has been under the radar, but I think Redford will make it in. He's Redford, dammit.

Best Actress:

Cate Blanchett
Sandra Bullock
Meryl Streep 
Emma Thompson
Amy Adams

Blanchett will win. Brie Larson was the actual best actress of the year which obviously that does not matter.

Best Supporting Actress:

Jennifer Lawrence
June Squibb
Julia Roberts
Lupita Nyong'o
Oprah WInfrey

One of the biggest questions for me is if the Academy is going to let Jennifer Lawrence have another trophy. Will they say she's earned it, or does she need to be taken down a peg? If it's the latter I think it'll go to Nyong'o, but I'd love a surprise win for June Squibb.

Best Supporting Actor:

Jared Leto
Michael Fassbender
Bradley Cooper
James Gandolfini
WIll Forte

Gambling on a upset nom for the SNL alum. Kind of hard to read who's going to take this one. DId anyone ever think Jared Leto would win an Oscar before Claire Danes?

Best Director:

Steve McQueen
Alfonso Cuaron
David O. Russel
Spike Jonze
Martin Scorsese

Best Original Screenplay:

American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Her
Nebraksa
Dallas Buyers Club

Best Adapted Screenplay

12 Years a Slave
Before Midnight
The Wolf of Wall Street
Captain Phillips
Philomena

Best Documentary: Stories We Tell is one of the best movies I've seen this year, so it better get in or I don't even.

Best Foreign Language Film: The Past wasn't even shortlisted, which gives me the rare oppurtunity to be mad at the Oscars before the nominations are accounced. Impressive!

Current pick to win Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave. The Academy won't pass up the chance to congratulate the hell out of themselves for awarding such an Important Film. Also the movie's pretty good I guess.




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0
 01.15.2014 2:33pm


Catastrophe
I'm Catbug!



 Predictions for Nominations:

Best Motion Picture
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Gravity
Captain Phillips
The Wolf of Wall Street
Lee Daniel's The Butler
Her
Dallas Buyers Club

Best Achievment in Directing
Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
David O Russel for American Hustle
Spike Jonze for Her
Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
Martin Scorsese for The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Robert Redford in All is Lost
Leonardo DiCaprio in The Wolf of Wall Street
Chitawel Ejifor in 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks in Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey in Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Sandra Bullock in Gravity
Cate Blanchett in Blue Jasmine
Judi Dench in Philomena
Meryl Streep in August: Osage County
Emma Thompson in Saving Mr Banks

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips
Jonah Hill in The Wolf of Wall Street
Bradley Cooper in American Hustle
Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
Jared Leto in Dalls Buyers Club

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o in 12 Years a Slave
June Squibb in Nebraska
Julia Roberts in August Osage County
Oprah Winfrey in Lee Daniel's The Butler

Best Animated Feature
The Croods
Ernset and Celestine
Frozen
The Wind Rises

Notes: Julia Roberts could sneak in and go head to head with Meryl Streep in the Best Actress category, unless politicking gets in the way and then she'll be bumped down to Best Supporting Actress. In the first case, Emma Thompson would be omitted.




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0
 01.16.2014 3:13pm


Mole
Somebody loves ya.
Mole said:

Best Documentary: Stories We Tell is one of the best movies I've seen this year, so it better get in or I don't even.

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Full nominees list. Immediate thoughts:

--David O. Russell is fucking unstoppable. Nominees in all four acting categories TWO YEARS RUNNING, I'm almost certain this is unprecedented. With eleven nomintions across three movies he is clearly running this game.

--Not a big showing to Inside Llewyn Davis, but nice that the gorgeous cinematography was recognized.

--Solid showings for Nebraksa and Dallas Buyers Club though, which is great.

--Surprise noms for Jonah Hill and Sally Hawkins, both of which are excellent and deserved.

--I also think this is the first time a Wong-Kar Wai movie has been nominted for Cinematography? Well done Academy, it only took you twenty years to catch up.

--This is the third straight year that Chris Pratt has appeared in a Best Picture nominee.

Interesting to see where things stand for Best Picture. American Hustle clearly has a lot of goodwill and is going to be campaigning hard. I think we have a good horse race between it and 12 Years a Slave, with Gravivy coming up behind as a spoiler. These are all very different and well-respected movies, and having them all in play is a healthy and exciting thing.




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0
 01.16.2014 3:36pm
Thread Creator

shooter_mcgavin
Registered Member
Mole said:

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO


I did have a feeling it could be snubbed. Academy tends to want the Documentary Line Up to have than "importance" factor.

Not suprised by Sally Hawkins nomination Woody Allen has a knack of getting his ladies Nominattions (it also goes to show the kind of talent Scarlet Johansson was since she got nothing when working with Woody Allen).

Her's Production Design nomiantion was well deserved and if only Blue Jasmine got a Costume Nomination I would have been proud of the techical categories.




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0
 01.16.2014 9:37pm


Fincher
Deep Water Horizon



 Amy Adams, yay.  I haven't seen American Hustle yet, I'm just a big fan of Amy Adams.



Currently playing: Professor Layton and the Diabolical Box, Picross DS
Last played: Time Hollow (good)
Last watched: Agent Carter (very good)
Me on Favslist




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0
 01.17.2014 12:22am


Lexx
I know how they work



 For the first time in years, I feel pretty satisfied with the Best Picture noms.




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0
 01.17.2014 12:23am


reido
(\/)(o,,,o)(\/)



 Is the Best Animated crop so slim that... that The fuckin' Croods is really in there?

Christ.




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0
 01.17.2014 3:05am


Rhaegar
World Warrior 21007



 I'm cheering for literally anything other than American Hustle and anything and anyone associated with that overrated, mediocre movie.




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0
 01.17.2014 9:39am
Thread Creator

shooter_mcgavin
Registered Member
reido said:

Is the Best Animated crop so slim that... that The fuckin' Croods is really in there?

Christ.

They actuall snubbed Monsters University so at least the branch is getting creatvie. Or maybe it's them telling Pixar right out that they aren't the king of animated films anymore. If that's the case then I support this snub even if the lesser Despicable Me 2 (a movie I did not like) got nominated in its place.




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0
 01.17.2014 1:47pm


reido
(\/)(o,,,o)(\/)



 Frozen or nothing.


... Though Miyazaki would be acceptable.




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0
 01.17.2014 2:36pm


Catastrophe
I'm Catbug!



 Predictions for Wins:

Best Picture:
12 Years a Slave
Alternate: American Hustle
Personal Choice: Gravity

Best Actor:
Chiwetel Ejiofer in 12 Years a Slave
Alternate: Leonardo DiCaprio in The Wolf of Wall Street
Personal Choice: Matthew McConaughey in Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress:
Cate Blanchett in Blue Jasmine
Alternate: Sandra Bullock in Gravity
Personal Choice: Sandra Bullock in Gravity

Best Director:
David O. Russell/American Hustle
Alternate: Steve McQueen/12 Years a Slave
Personal Choice: Alfonso Cuaron/Gravity

Best Supporting Actor:
Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club
Alternate: Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips
Personal Choice: Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress:
Lupita Nyong'o in 12 Years a Slave
Alternate: Julia Roberts in August: Osage County
Personal Choice: June Squibb in Nebraska

Best Animated Feature:
Frozen
Alternate: F*ck you.
Personal Choice: Frozen

Best Animated Short:
Get a horse!
Alternate: F*ck you.
Personal Choice: Get a horse!

Best Original Song:
Let it Go from Frozen
Alternate: F*ck you.
Personal Choice: Let it Go from Frozen




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0
 01.17.2014 8:49pm


Lexx
I know how they work
Rhaegar said:

I'm cheering for literally anything other than American Hustle and anything and anyone associated with that overrated, mediocre movie.

I haven't seen the movie yet and I'm trying to keep an open mind, but I can't stand that Douche-Lord O. Russell, and I fear any big wins will just make his ego grow that much bigger.




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0
 01.18.2014 11:08pm


Mole
Somebody loves ya.



 American Hustle is such a frustrating movie. It has moments that are flat-out amazing -- Amy Adams screaming into the abyss, every scene with Louis C.K., LIVE AND LEH DIE -- in between endless wheel-spinning and a strange sense of dramatic inertia. Great performances from everyone, interesting characters, all suffering from a lack of cohesion and urgency. That said I'm a fan of David O. Russell and it's thrilling to see someone genuinely manic and idiosyncratic thriving in the mainstream. 




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0
 01.19.2014 12:11pm
Thread Creator

shooter_mcgavin
Registered Member

 I saw The Wolf of Wall Street and I think I kind of love it (not flat out loved it) the length could have used some trimming but I enjoyed how unashamed the movie is in showing these people living on excess without consequences. I liked the energy of the movie it's the closest thing Scorsese will ever do in making a stoner comedy/college frat movie so it's always nice to see Scorsese still suprising me.

I honestly do not know which movie will win at this point it's really between American Hustle, 12 Years a Slave, and Gravity. I have seen 2 out of the 3. Gravity is my favoriate movie but I can't see the movie beating out Hustle or 12 Years a Slave. 12 Years a Slave I thought was pretty great but I think it's more a kind of film people admire than love (Academy votes with their hearts) but I doubt Hustle is heartfelt film either. So far it's anyone's game.

Acting though might already be locked up in 3 categories.

Matthew McConaughey for Best Actor- he won the Globes, SAG, and BFCA so it does seem he's leading the pack. I couldn't be happier I wrote him off a few years ago after all those years of insufferable work but his work in recent years has been doing some great work. On paper he's the frontrunner but somehow  I can't help but feel like he's going to lose via an upset, I don't know why but I think it's because he's still kind of young as far as leading men goes at 44. Oscar Voters and their 60 year old male voters (50+% of the voting bloc) tends to make the men wait longer than the women. Which is why I can't help but feel Bruce Dern will win it.

Cate Blanchett for Best Actress -  Some may say Amy Adams could win this but I don't think there's a chance. Blanchett has never won an Oscar for Leading Actress and Woody Allen's movies is great in getting women wins. So yeah it's time for Blanchett to get her Oscar that Gwenyth Paltrow and Harvey Weinstein stole back in 1998.

Jared Leto for Supporting Actor - He's winning this.

Catastrophe said:

Predictions for Wins:

Best Animated Feature:
Frozen
Alternate: F*ck you.
Personal Choice: Frozen


What about The Wind Rises, Miyazaki's last film? I think the Academy might want to recognize him one last time. And the last time Disney and Miyazaki went to head to head, Miyazaki came out on top.




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